Our resident betting expert is predicting an England win in the Montenegrin capital, with the Three Lions to score at least three goals his outside bet.
Also in this edition, find out why you should back both the Republic of Ireland and Austria to score in a draw at the Aviva Stadium in Group C.
Rooney will be looking to make amends for putting England’s Euro 2012 qualifying campaign in jeopardy on his last visit to the Montenegrin capital, when he was sent off for a petulant kick. The Tipster expects Rooney to have a key role to play on Tuesday night. The Manchester United striker is in good form, having scored a free-kick and played an instrumental role in almost every goal in Friday’s 8-0 win in San Marino. So The Tipster’s opening punt is Rooney to score first in Podgorica at tempting odds of 15/4.
This is a crunch Group H meeting; England are on 11 points heading into this clash against Montenegro, who have 13 points from their opening five games. Both these teams are well clear of third-placed Ukraine, so the game will go some way to determining who will finish top of the group. Having looked through the Montenegro team, there isn’t that much for England to fear. Stefan Savic was very poor for Manchester City last season, and while their front-men will need to be monitored, there is a lack of top-level quality. So The Tipster fancies England to win at 4/5.
With Giovanni Trapattoni’s negative tactics since taking charge of Ireland – which have brought about moderately successful results – the Tipster is swimming against the tide with this bet. The way the group is shaping up, this is really a game Ireland need to win, with both sides level on points. It is an opportunity to move into pole position to secure second spot and it should be a more open affair as a result. And both teams to score at 10/11 looks like a bet to get involved with.
Both teams have the same record in the group (W2 D1 L1) and both of their defeats came against the Germans. However, the Austrians are far better placed in the group as a result of their goal difference of +9, as opposed to Ireland’s -1. But Austria have failed to win a game against a side in the Fifa top 100 since 2008, with Marcel Koller’s side yet to really be tested in qualifying. So The Tipster reckons that with identical group records, a draw looks on the cards, priced at 9/4.
The Tipster likes this price bearing in mind Hodgson’s side are fresh from securing their biggest victory in 26 years on Friday night. England’s only other visit to Montengero yielded two goals – and it could have been more but for Rooney’s red card. England have a good record in this part of Europe, having scored four against Croatia and three against Albania in recent years. So The Tipster’s long shot is England to score at least three goals against Montenegro at 10/3.
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